Figure A3. Projected change in Myotis velifer relative
probability of occurrence (a) under multiple future scenarios: exposure
to white-nose syndrome (WNS) under current climate conditions (b) and
exposure to WNS under projected mid-century climate conditions (c-f).
Future climate scenarios were driven by each combination of two global
circulation models (GCMs): GFDL-ESM2M (c-d) and HadGEM2-ES (e-f) and two
dynamically-downscaled regional climate models (RCMs): RegCM4 (c,e) and
WRF (d,f). Darker green indicates a projected increase in occurrence
probability; darker purple indicates a projected decrease. The species’
current known range (gray outline) and points of recorded winter
occurrence (gray points) are overlaid.