3.2.2. Models Predicting Non-Institutional Death Incidence
Variables associated with non-institutional deaths are shown in Figure 2
(right points in darker green). Consistently significant positive
associations in both Phase 1 and Phase 2 include proportions of Black
and Latinx residents, as well as the percent of people aged over 80
years. No covariate was found to have statistically significant negative
associations in both phases, though % aged under 20 years was negative
in Phase 1 (0.82 [0.75, 0.89]) and % undergraduates was negative in
Phase 2 (0.87 [0.81, 0.94]). Substantive changes in point estimates
were seen for % of workers in essential services, which increased from
1.03 (0.96, 1.12) in Phase 1 to 1.14 (1.08, 1.21) in Phase 2, and for %
Black, which decreased from 1.32 (1.23, 1.41) to 1.14 (1.08, 1.20).