Notes: K = the number of estimated parameters, QAICc = Akaike Information Criterion corrected for over-dispersion and small sample size, and QAICc = the difference in QAICc between the model in question and the best supported model. Interactions between parameters are denoted by (*) and additive effects by (+). In each model, t refers to time dependence, C to the group effect for colony, St to state (prebreeder, nonbreeder, breeder), and tsm to the grouping of recapture years by ground reader placement. Combined annual Anchovy and Sardine spawner biomass was referred to as ‘Fish’, and separated data by ‘Anchovy’ and ‘Sardine’ respectively. Recapture models were created with survival and transition in their most general form (time, colony and state dependent). Survival was then modelled using the best recapture model and holding transition in its most general form. Transition models were then modelled using the best recapture and survival model.