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\begin{document}

\title{Diurnal temperature range expands with warming for temperatures above
the melting point}



\author[1]{Felix Pithan}%
\author[2]{Leonhard Schatt}%
\affil[1]{Alfred Wegener institute for polar and marine research}%
\affil[2]{University of Bayreuth}%


\vspace{-1em}



  
  \date{May 22, 2024}


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\selectlanguage{english}
\begin{abstract}
The globally averaged diurnal temperature range (DTR) has shrunk since
the mid-20th century, and climate models project further shrinking.
Observations indicate a slowdown or reversal of this trend in recent
decades. Here, we show that DTR has a minimum for average temperatures
close to 0C. Observed DTR shrinks strongly at colder temperature, where
warming shifts the average temperature towards the DTR minimum, and
expands at warmer temperature, where warming shifts the average
temperature away from the DTR minimum. Most, but not all climate models
reproduce the minimum DTR close to 0C and a stronger DTR shrinking at
colder temperature. In models that reproduce the DTR minimum close to
0C, DTR shrinking slows down significantly in recent decades. Model
projections suggest that the DTR will resume or continue shrinking over
the 21st century.%
\end{abstract}%



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\begin{figure}[H]
\begin{center}
\includegraphics[width=0.70\columnwidth]{figures/binned-trends-heatmap-month-averages-seismic-weighted/binned-trends-heatmap-month-averages-seismic-weighted}

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\end{figure}\selectlanguage{english}
\begin{figure}[H]
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\includegraphics[width=0.70\columnwidth]{figures/cm6dtr-dtr-time-v3/cm6dtr-dtr-time-v3}

\end{center}
\end{figure}\selectlanguage{english}
\begin{figure}[H]
\begin{center}
\includegraphics[width=0.70\columnwidth]{figures/cm6dtr-tasdtr-v3/cm6dtr-tasdtr-v3}

\end{center}
\end{figure}\selectlanguage{english}
\begin{figure}[H]
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\includegraphics[width=0.70\columnwidth]{figures/CRU-data-Month-DTR-TAvg-legend/CRU-data-Month-DTR-TAvg-legend}

\end{center}
\end{figure}\selectlanguage{english}
\begin{figure}[H]
\begin{center}
\includegraphics[width=0.70\columnwidth]{figures/SB-DTR-binning-svalbard-3/SB-DTR-binning-svalbard-3}

\end{center}
\end{figure}

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